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On top of that, the latest U.S. jobs market scorecard will be released along with more mega-cap earnings. This week, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield briefly climbed above 4.7% for the first time since November. That's down sharply from the six or seven rate cuts investors were anticipating coming into the year. April jobs Investors will also get an update on the labor picture next week, with the release of the April nonfarm payrolls report set for Friday. Corporate earnings season will also ramp up in the week ahead with a slew of consumer-facing companies set to report.
Persons: Stocks, Powell, David Alcaly, Jerome Powell's, we've, they're, Brian Nick, Matt Stucky, it's, Stucky, Dow Jones, Nick, Archer, Eli Lilly, Kraft, Estee, Ingersoll Rand, Stanley Black, Decker, Hershey Organizations: Nasdaq, Google, Microsoft, Treasury, Lazard Asset Management, Macro, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company, Fed, Apple, Micro Computer, Dallas Fed, Paramount, ON Semiconductor, Chicago PMI, Prudential Financial, Devices, Storage, Diamondback Energy, Caesars Entertainment, Corning, Daniels, Midland, Molson Coors Beverage, Marathon Petroleum, GE Healthcare Technologies, PayPal, ADP, P Global, Manufacturing, Oil, MGM Resorts International, Allstate, Etsy, eBay, Qualcomm, MetLife, First, Devon Energy, Cruise Line Holdings, Brands, Marriott International, Kraft Heinz, Pfizer, Companies, CVS Health, Generac, Mastercard, Labor, Nation Entertainment, Booking Holdings, Natural Resources, Motorola Solutions, Expedia, EOG, Coterra Energy, Dominion Energy, Howmet Aerospace, ConocoPhillips, Moderna, PMI, Services PMI Locations: U.S, Chicago, McDonald's, Albemarle, EOG Resources
The Big Tech earnings next week could revive a flagging market, or at least give investors direction into where stocks are going from here. Wall Street is hoping next week's megacap tech results will give investors insight into where the artificial intelligence trade is going from here, as a bounce in tech could lift the indexes. They're also hoping a slew consumer commentary will give investors insight into the state of the economy. However, he said any pullback in the tech names could give investors an opening to start "nibbling away" at additional exposure. Personal Income 10 a.m. Michigan Sentiment NSA final Earnings: T. Rowe Price Group , Colgate-Palmolive , Exxon Mobil , Chevron , AbbVie , Phillips 66
Persons: Tesla, They're, Kim Forrest, Elon Musk, Emily Leveille, Scott Ladner, Ladner, Horizon's Ladner, FactSet, Baker Hughes, Philip Morris, Lockheed Martin, Raymond James Financial, Rowe Price, Phillips Organizations: Big Tech, Google, Microsoft, Bokeh, Nasdaq, Investors, Deutsche Bank, Reuters, Thornburg Investment Management, Meta, Consumer, Visa, Chicago, Verizon Communications, Ameriprise, Truist, PMI, New, Richmond Fed, Enphase, Tesla, NextEra, Philip Morris International, Halliburton, United Parcel Service, PepsiCo, Lockheed, Raytheon Technologies, GE Aerospace, Grill, Business Machines, Lam Research, Ford Motor, Technology, Waste Management, Universal Health Services, Raymond, Boeing, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Mobile, Capital, Financial Corp, Intel, Western Digital, Comcast, American Airlines Group, Southwest Airlines, Valero Energy, Caterpillar, Tractor Supply, Royal Caribbean Group, GE, PCE, NSA, Rowe Price Group, Colgate, Palmolive, Exxon Mobil, Chevron Locations: China, Europe, U.S, NextEra Energy, Freeport, McMoRan, . Kansas, Michigan, AbbVie
Wall Street could be in for another solid quarter as stocks have embarked on a strong start to the year. Specifically, in the second quarter, the S & P 500 was higher 9 out of 11 times, averaging a 2.7% gain. Significantly, two occurrences of those 10% first-quarter gains Detrick reviewed took place during election years, with the S & P 500 ending higher on the year. In 1976, the S & P 500 went on to register a 1.5% increase in the second quarter, and a 4.6% jump for the rest of the year. The Wall Street firm maintained its year-end S & P 500 target of 5,050, representing a 3.8% slide from Wednesday's close.
Persons: Ryan Detrick, We've, there'd, Detrick, CNBC's, Research's Sam Stovall, Stovall, Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Brian Nick, Nick, John Stoltzfus, Ayako Yoshioka, Yoshioka, CFRA's Stovall, FactSet Organizations: Nvidia, VanEck Semiconductor, Dow Jones, Carson Group, Macro, PMI, Manufacturing, ADP, Survey, Services PMI, Weston Holdings, Conagra Brands, Consumer Credit Locations: U.S
How the Federal Reserve plans to proceed with interest rates will be in focus next week after some recent signs of hotter inflation muddied the outlook. In December, policymakers had penciled in at least three quarter percentage point rate cuts in 2024. On Friday, stocks were headed for a losing week even after the S & P 500, for example, notched a fresh closing record just this week. The chipmaker will be under increased scrutiny next week as CEO Jensen Huang takes the stage for the company's annual AI conference. TD Wealth's Vaidya anticipates four rate cuts coming in the third and fourth quarters, though he said that outlook will remain data dependent.
Persons: Sid Vaidya, Jensen Huang, Lorie Logan, Molly McGown, McGown, Brian Nick, Wealth's Vaidya, Nick, Mills, , Samantha Subin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Nvidia, Dallas, TD Securities, Securities, McGown, Bank of America, Housing, Micron Technology, Philadelphia Fed, PMI, PMI Manufacturing, PMI Services SA, Nike, FedEx, Darden Locations: U.S, NAHB
Next week, the first full trading week of March, macroeconomic concerns will take center stage for investors. Next week, the Fed chief is largely anticipated to stick to the same talking points in testifying before Congress. In fact, the February jobs report, due out next Friday, is expected to show a moderation in payroll gains. Hourly Earnings preliminary (February) 8:30 a.m. Average Workweek preliminary (February) 8:30 a.m. Manufacturing Payrolls (February) 8:30 a.m. Nonfarm Payrolls (February) 8:30 a.m. Private Nonfarm Payrolls (February) 8:30 a.m. Unemployment Rate (February) — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Jeff Cox and Yun Li contributed to this report.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Shannon Saccocia, Kim Forrest, Webull, Michael Hartnett, CNBC's Yun Li, Melissa Brown, Brown, Wealth's Saccocia, Saccocia, Nonfarm Payrolls, , Michael Bloom, Jeff Cox, Yun Li Organizations: Federal, Fed, Capitol, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, FactSet, Barclays, Bokeh Capital Partners, Labor Department, Bitcoin, BofA Global Research, Apple, Nvidia, Ross Stores, Costco Wholesale, Kroger, . Semiconductor, Broadcom, PMI, PMI Services, Services PMI, Ross, Target, ADP, Labor, Consumer Credit Locations: U.S, REITs, Japan
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S & P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite each snapped a five-week advance. On average, market strategists on Wall Street anticipate the S & P 500 will end the year at 4,936, according to a CNBC survey . The equal-weighted S & P 500 index is up just 1.7% in 2024, trailing far behind the market-cap weighted benchmark. Initial Claims (02/17) 9:45 a.m. PMI Composite preliminary (February) 9:45 a.m. S & P PMI Manufacturing preliminary (February) 9:45 a.m. S & P PMI Services preliminary (February) 10 a.m. Existing Homes Sales (January) Earnings: Booking Holdings , Live Nation Entertainment , Intuit , Edison International , Dominion Energy , Moderna , PG & E , Keurig Dr. Pepper Friday, February 23, 2024 Earnings: Warner Bros.
Persons: chipmaker, Ayako Yoshioka, Yoshioka, Jerome Powell, Josh Emanuel, everybody's, Emanuel, Russell, They're, Chris Chen, Chen, Dr, Pepper, Nick Wells, Kif Leswing Organizations: Nvidia, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Investor, Treasury, Wilshire Associates, American Association of, Insight Financial, Walmart, Home, Alto Networks, Diamondback Energy, Caesars Entertainment, Marathon, Devices, Chicago, PMI, Holdings, Nation Entertainment, Intuit, Edison International, Dominion Energy, Moderna, Warner Bros Locations: U.S, Santa Monica, Calif
Wall Street continues to climb a wall of worry even as investors deliberate how much longer equities can maintain their record run. But questions remain for investors after some major disappointments in an intense week suggested more challenges ahead. Apple dropped 3% this week after reporting lackluster earnings, weighing on the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Elsewhere in corporate earnings, regional banks as represented by the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF slid 7% after poor results from New York Community Bank spurred investor fears of a wider contagion. Signs of market weakness For investors, there may be more issues in the market going forward in 2024.
Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, Apple, Scott Rubner, Goldman Sachs, Rubner, Russell, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, CNBC's, Sonders, Lehman, Raymond James, Josh Beck, James McCann, Abrdn, McCann, Rhys WIlliams, Williams, it's, Art Hogan, They're, Hogan, Estee, Eli Lilly, Ralph Lauren, Rowe Price, Philip Morris Organizations: Meta, Dow Jones, Regional Banking, New York Community Bank, Bank, Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple, Markets, Wayve Capital Management, Riley, Atlanta, PMI, Simon Property, Companies, Tyson Foods, Semiconductor, Caterpillar, Prudential Financial, Ford Motor, Enphase Energy, GE Healthcare Technologies, Consumer, Walt Disney Co, Wynn Resorts, PayPal, Brands, CVS Health, Hilton Worldwide, Uber Technologies, Costco Wholesale, Motorola Solutions, Expedia, Rowe Price Group, ConocoPhillips, The Hershey Co, Philip Morris International, PepsiCo Locations: China
The S & P 500 rallied more than 1% on Friday, above both its closing and intraday records that it last reached in January 2022. "Meaning that when a major index like the S & P 500, like the Nasdaq 100, reaches a new all time high, what it does is, it clears the charts of resistance." For 2024, Wald anticipates the S & P 500 will end the year at the 5,400 level, representing a roughly 12% rise from Friday's close of 4,839.81. Inflation data, earnings ahead Next week will also bring the Fed's preferred inflation gauge for December, which is expected to confirm the recent trend of easing inflation. Leading Indicators Tuesday Jan. 23 10 a.m. Richmond Fed Index (January) Earnings: General Electric , Synchrony Financial , D.R.
Persons: it's, Katie Stockton, we've, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wald, Dow Jones, That's, Dave Sekera, Sekera, Jan, Johnson, Lockheed Martin, Lockheed Martin Wednesday Jan, Kimberly, Clark, Northrop Organizations: Fed, Nasdaq, Morningstar Research Services, Richmond Fed, Synchrony, Raytheon Technologies, Verizon Communications, Halliburton, Johnson, Procter, Gamble, Lockheed, Lockheed Martin Wednesday, PMI, SA, PMI Manufacturing SA, PMI Services SA, Abbott Laboratories, Chicago, New, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Northrop Grumman, Southwest Airlines, American Airlines, Comcast, PCE, Norfolk, American, CNBC Locations: Stockton, U.S, Horton, Freeport, McMoRan, . Kansas
Close up of Chinese Yuan notes, with Mao Tse-tung Peter Dazeley | The Image Bank | Getty ImagesChina's recent policy support is aimed at fixing its system and shouldn't be seen as economic stimulus, according to Societe Generale's Asia chief economist and head of research. PMI divergenceExpansion in China's services sector climbed to its strongest since August, a private survey on Tuesday showed. However, the private survey diverged from China's official PMI. The moderating manufacturing PMI and contracting services PMI, along with other November data point to the fragility of the Chinese economy and a faster deceleration of growth momentum last month, they added. The official PMI includes more companies engaged in heavy industries compared with the Caixin PMI, which covers more consumer-focused firms, Barclays economists said.
Persons: Yuan, Mao Tse, Peter Dazeley, Wei Yao, Yao, Jian Chang Organizations: Bank, Getty, Societe Generale's, CNBC, Economic Work Conference, China Communist, PMI, National Bureau of Statistics, NBS, Barclays Locations: Societe Generale's Asia, China
Wall Street will endeavor to keep the November momentum going in the final month of 2023, as investors look for a broadening out of the rally that has been dominated this year by a handful of tech names. It also marked the best monthly performance for the S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite since July 2022. While the S & P 500 cap-weighted index climbed more than 18% this year, the equal-weighted index is up by just over 4%. They highlight the attractive relative valuation of value stocks compared to growth stocks, as well as the significant underweighting of value names in portfolios by traders. And the question is, is it going to be in 2024, is it going to be 2025 or in 2026?
Persons: Stocks, Hogan, Olivier Sarfati, GenTrust's Sarfati, Carlos Asilis, Asilis, FactSet, nonfarm payrolls, They're, TK, Nonfarm Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Riley, Apple, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Tesla, Expedia, Paramount Global, Russell, Glovista Investments, PMI, Services PMI, ADP, Labor, Consumer Credit, Broadcom Locations: U.S, Michigan
Nvidia earnings will be in focus in the Thanksgiving-shortened week ahead, as investors consider the sustainability of the November rally heading into year-end. NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia YTD The chip giant's results will come amid a broad rally for equities this month. The S & P 500 has climbed more than 7%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has advanced more than 9%. That stands in marked contrast to the S & P 500, which trades at a multiple of 22. Hopes for a dovish Fed Wall Street is also heading into next week after absorbing some positive news.
Persons: Timothy Arcuri, China —, Piper Sandler, Harsh Kumar, Quincy Krosby, Bill Baruch, CNBC's, That's, Bonds, Giuseppe Sette, Dow, Jeff Hirsch, , Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, UBS, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Microsoft, LPL, Dow, Blue, Investors, Chicago Fed, HP Inc, Autodesk, Devices, Lowe's, Deere, P, PMI, P Global PMI Locations: FactSet, China, Treasurys, Lombard, Michigan
The Federal Reserve meeting and October jobs report are on the docket next week as investors wrap up a brutal month for markets. Both the S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite slid into correction territory this week following some disappointing megacap tech reports. "I suspect that the Fed is not going to comfort the market," said James Camp, managing director at Eagle Asset Management. Many investors expect stocks could remain choppy until the markets gain clarity on when the Fed will start to cut rates. Jobs report Investors will get another look into the labor market next week soon after the Fed decision.
Persons: Jerome Powell, James Camp, Dave Sekera, Sekera, Dow Jones, Nick Galluccio, you'll, Powell, Charlie Ripley, Ripley, Galluccio, we've, Eli Lilly Organizations: Reserve, Nasdaq, Eagle Asset Management, Fed, Teton Advisors, Treasury, Asset, Apple, Investors, Allianz Investment Management, Advisors, Dallas Fed, Simon Property, Semiconductor, Western, ECI Civilian Workers, Chicago PMI, Devices, Caesars Entertainment, Pfizer, GE Healthcare Technologies, Caterpillar, ADP, PMI, Manufacturing, Costco Wholesale, Qualcomm, Cruise Line Holdings, Brands, Labor, Factory, News Corp, Booking Holdings, Paramount Global, Moderna, Jobs, Services PMI, Health Locations: U.S, FactSet, Chicago
Major earnings reports and economic data will be in focus next week as investors seek clarity on how the Federal Reserve will proceed from here. But next week will bring the lion's share of results including reports from mega-cap darlings Alphabet, Amazon , Meta Platforms and Microsoft . While the S & P 500 is higher by 10% in 2023, the equal-weighted index is down slightly. Of note, Tesla shares sank more than 9% on Thursday following a pessimistic economic outlook from CEO Elon Musk during the company's earnings call. Its the S & P 500's first weekly loss in three weeks.
Persons: bode, Elon Musk, We're, Sam Stovall, it's, Raphael Bostic, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clissold, Katie Stockton, Rob Ginsberg, I'm, CFRA's Stovall, Stovall, Sherwin, Williams, Kimberly, Hess, Raymond James Financial, Keurig Dr Pepper, Northrop, Willis Towers Watson, Stanley Black, Rowe Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Microsoft, Investors, CFRA, Dow Jones, Treasury, Fed, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Wolfe Research, Chicago, P, PMI, P Global PMI Manufacturing, P Global PMI Services, Richmond Fed, Visa, Texas Instruments, General Electric, NextEra Energy, Raytheon Technologies, Dow, Inc, General Motors, Halliburton, Coca, Corning, Hilton Worldwide, General Dynamics, Dominion Freight, Mobile US, Boeing, Raymond, Technology, Whirlpool, International Business Machines, O'Reilly, Honeywell, Northrop Grumman, Mastercard, Amazon, Royal Caribbean Group, Tractor Supply, United Parcel Service, Hasbro, Southwest Airlines, Comcast, Hershey, Intel, L3Harris Technologies, Ford Motor, Energy, Chevron, Decker, Exxon Mobil, Colgate, Palmolive Locations: U.S, Atlanta, AbbVie
A government shutdown looming on the horizon could dampen sentiment to start October even as Wall Street wraps up what's been a challenging month and quarter. Many market participants expect that the financial markets and economy will broadly shake off concerns from a shutdown as they have in the past. "The market's probably going to set it aside until or unless it starts to have a larger impact on behaviors." Economic impact Historically, government shutdowns have been relatively short-lived, though they have been longer and more disruptive recently. Meanwhile, Jay Woods, chief global strategist at Freedom Capital Markets, expects the government shutdown is "all bark and no bite" when it comes to market reaction.
Persons: Wells Fargo, Rob Haworth, Wells, Michael Pugliese, Bank's Haworth, Aditya Bhave, Jay Woods, Woods, Jeff Hirsch, Hirsch, Lamb Weston Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, Federal Reserve, U.S . Bank, Nasdaq, BEA, Bank of America U.S, Labor, Freedom Capital, Atlanta Fed's, PMI, Manufacturing, McCormick, ADP, Services PMI, Constellation Brands, Conagra, Consumer Credit Locations: Wells Fargo
The Federal Reserve is widely anticipated to hold rates steady in the week ahead, but key for investors will be the central bank's guidance on where it's headed from here. Investors are assessing a mixed batch of economic reports ahead of the Fed's September policy meeting. Meanwhile, August retail sales came in better than expected, jumping 0.6% against a 0.1% increase expected by economists. Housing data released in the week ahead could show whether housing demand remains solid. Week ahead calendar All times ET.
Persons: Bank's Rob Haworth, Jerome Powell, Powell, Hogan, Instacart, Arm's, Mills, Lisa Cook, , Jeff Cox, Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Investors, PPI, Federal, Riley, FedEx, Housing, Philadelphia Fed, Darden, FactSet, Systems, National Bureau of Economic Research, Artificial Intelligence, PMI, SA, PMI Manufacturing SA, PMI Services SA Locations: NAHB, Toronto, Canada
Stocks are looking to maintain momentum in the holiday-shortened week ahead even as Wall Street contends with a seasonally weak period for markets ahead of the Federal Reserve's September rate decision. Some technical indicators have investors hopeful the bullish momentum could continue in the week ahead. For example, the major indexes broke above their respective 50-day moving averages this past week — a sign of improving short-term momentum. Central bank policymakers convene for a two-day meeting starting Sept. 19 and announce their interest rate decision Sept. 20. Week ahead calendar All times are ET.
Persons: Sam Stovall, We've, Ryan Detrick, Quincy Krosby, CFRA, , HSBC's Max Kettner, Savita Subramanian, John Luke Tyner, Carson Group's Detrick, Detrick, FactSet, Kroger Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Wall, Dow, Carson Group, Fed, LPL, Bank of America, Aptus Capital Advisors, Labor, PMI, PMI Services, Consumer Credit Locations: U.S, CFRA, China
The week ahead will "revolve around three things," Infrastructure Capital Management CEO Jay Hatfield remarked on the week ahead. "Nvidia's earnings, Nvidia's earnings and, to a lesser degree, Jackson Hole." Nvidia earnings Many investors expect Nvidia will beat expectations for the second quarter when it reports results next Wednesday . More commentary from Jackson Hole If Nvidia is the key microeconomic event next week, Jackson Hole will dominate macroeconomic discussion. Powell delivers his address at the annual central bank forum hosted by the Kansas City Fed next Friday morning.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Jay Hatfield, Jackson, Management's Yung, Yu Ma, Hans Mosesmann, Hatfield, Powell, Ross Mayfield, Ray Farris, Fed Governor Bowman, Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal, Infrastructure Capital Management, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Fitch, Federal Reserve, BMO, Nvidia, Rosenblatt Securities, Infrastructure Capital Management's, Kansas City Fed, Fed, Infrastructure Capital, Credit Suisse, Richmond Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, PMI, New, Body, Devices, Autodesk, Chicago, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Intuit, Ulta Locations: , Wyoming, China, Infrastructure Capital Management's Hatfield, Powell, . Kansas, Michigan
More Big Tech earnings and the jobs report are in the week ahead as investors wrap up a strong week that included a historic run for the Dow Jones Industrial Average . Jobs report out Friday Investors will digest the latest data from the July jobs report due out next Friday. "I don't expect any huge surprise from this jobs report next week," said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi. Earnings will continue to pour in next week, with key results from Big Tech companies Apple and Amazon on Thursday. Still, cooling inflation, strong jobs market and a resilient economy could spell a happy path for Wall Street.
Persons: Dow, Queen Victoria, Kim Forrest, Jerome Powell, Forrest, Nonfarm, Dow Jones, Liz Young, Bokeh's Forrest, they're, She'd, we've, SoFi's Young, Young, she'd, Stanley Black, Decker, The Kraft Heinz Organizations: Big Tech, Dow Jones, Dow, Cotton Oil, Bokeh Capital Partners, Meta, Federal Reserve, Pew Research, Apple, Semiconductor, Bank of Japan, Chicago PMI SA, Dallas Fed, Arista Networks, Western, Systems, PMI Manufacturing SA, ISM Manufacturing SA, Merck, Co, Caterpillar, Marriott International, Altria, Cruise Line Holdings, Pfizer, Marathon Petroleum, Molson Coors Beverage, SolarEdge Technologies, Devices, Caesars Entertainment, Electronic Arts, Starbucks, ADP Employment Survey SA, CVS Health, Fidelity National Information Services, Generac Holdings, Humana, The Kraft, Brands, MetLife, Marathon Oil, Occidental Petroleum, PayPal Holdings, Qualcomm, Etsy, Costco Wholesale, MGM Resorts, SA, PMI, Factory, PMI SA, News Corp, Constellation Energy, Moderna, Warner Bros, Discovery, Hasbro, ConocoPhillips, Kellogg, Booking Holdings, Expedia, Motorola Solutions, Monster Beverage, Manufacturing Payrolls SA, Nonfarm Payrolls SA, Dominion Energy Locations: United Kingdom, U.S
Markets closed out the week — and the year — in the red, as the so-called Santa Claus rally failed to materialize. Under the hood, financials closed out the week in the green followed by energy, while materials led to the downside followed by consumer staples and utilities. On Thursday, initial jobless claims for the week ending Dec. 24 came in at 225,000, the U.S. Labor Department said. ET: ISM manufacturing PMI 10:00 a.m. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
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